# Trump Code (川普密碼 / トランプ・コード)

> AI-powered brute-force analysis of Trump's social media posts and their stock market impact.

## Overview
Trump Code analyzes 7,400+ Truth Social posts from Trump's second term (2025-01-20 onwards), testing 31.5 million prediction model combinations. 551 rules survived train/test validation with a 61.3% hit rate (z=5.39, statistically significant).

## Key Findings
- RELIEF signal = strongest buy signal (Apr 9, 2025: S&P +9.52%)
- Pure tariff day = most dangerous (-1.057% average)
- 4-signal combo (DEAL+BRAG+RELIEF+TARIFF) = most profitable (+2.792%)
- Trump's silence = 80% bullish (+0.409% average)
- Truth Social publishes 6.2 hours before X (6-hour trading window)
- Late-night tariff tweets are anti-indicators (62% wrong → reverse = 62% right)

## Live Dashboard
https://trumpcode.washinmura.jp

## API Endpoints
- GET /api/dashboard — All data in one call
- GET /api/signals — Latest signals + 7-day history
- GET /api/models — 11 model performance rankings
- GET /api/recent-posts — Latest 20 Trump posts with signal analysis
- GET /api/polymarket-trump — 316+ live Trump prediction markets
- GET /api/status — System health
- GET /api/data — Downloadable dataset catalog
- POST /api/chat — AI chatbot (Gemini Flash)

## Open Data
All data is 100% public and free:
- trump_posts_all.json — 44,000+ Truth Social posts
- predictions_log.json — 566 verified predictions
- surviving_rules.json — 551 active rules
- daily_report.json — Daily trilingual report
- signal_confidence.json — Auto-adjusted signal confidence

## System Architecture
Real-Time Engine (every 5 min) → Daily Pipeline (11 steps) → Three Brains (Opus AI analysis + Rule Evolver + Circuit Breaker) → Output (Dashboard, API, CLI, MCP, Chatbot)

## GitHub
https://github.com/sstklen/trump-code

## Built By
Washin Mura (和心村) — Animal sanctuary on Japan's Boso Peninsula
https://washinmura.jp